Very mechanical trading early on Tuesday, usually indicative of shorter term and day time frame traders controlling price.
Price could not reach the base of the late spike from Monday at 2650.50, but traded as high as 2648.75 before one time framing lower off the high. Value was clearly going to be lower following the previous day’s late selloff from the all time high.
After a choppy start when the market opened inside of and near the low of the previous day’s range, price bounced between the opening print and previous close in the first half hour period before trading higher to just a single tick above the single print from Monday’s profile at 2648.50, leaving a poor high with only one TPO of excess.
The market balanced through I period, developing a wide point of control at 7 and 8 TPO’s at 2639.75 before the late selling in J period which formed the second, lower distribution beneath the earlier A/H bar’s poor low.
Looking at each of the distributions as a separate balance, potential balance trading scenarios could apply, depending on where the market opens:
– Look above or below a distribution and find acceptance at higher or lower prices
– Look above or below a distribution and fail to find acceptance, trading back into the balance and potentially targeting the opposite end
– Remain within balance
Price acceptance below Tuesday’s low could trigger further liquidation, potentially targeting the 2605 low from 12/1, and the prior weekly low at 2597.75.
Although maybe unlikely, if price recovers during the Globex overnight trading session and opens Wednesday inside the upper distribution from Tuesday, or finds acceptance back into the upper distribution, the poor high at 2648.75 and spike base from Monday at 2650.50 remain in play.
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