Tag Archives: prominent point of control

Daily Excess at All Time High

There is significant excess now at the all time high on the daily chart:

ES excess at the all time high on daily chart
Excess at all time high on daily chart

Tuesday’s profile featured another poor low and very prominent point of control. Acceptance below the POC should have good odds of testing the poor low at 2542.75 and potentially the poor low at 2539.25 from 10/9. Tuesday’s price action was a failed break out of balance to the upside, increasing the odds of a breakout to the downside of the current four day trading range could occur.

Price could also remain in balance, or retest the all time high. Acceptance above the wide POC at 2546.75 should test the settle from Tuesday at 2548.50, a probe above that level could test the excess single prints above 2550.25. If the excess holds the odds of the all time high from Tuesday holding would increase, at least for some time. If the excess is removed the odds will decrease that the all time high would be lasting.

(the above, post and all posts on es-traders.com, is an interpretation of market generated information using the Market Profile, and the information contained within is to be used for informational purposes only and not to be construed as investment or trading advice. DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS WEBSITE. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Please read our disclaimer)




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ES – 5 1/ 2 Point Trading Range Near All Time High, Near Matching Points of Control

With overnight inventory 100% short, the first 30 minute period in the ES traded very mechanically after price opened inside upper distribution from Friday’s record setting day.

ES split view market profile chart
ES split view market profile chart

Price traded through the single print from Friday by just three ticks before bouncing exactly from the overnight session half back level, a level used often by day and short term traders. If longer time frame money was selling the market, price would probably not reverse off such an exacting, visual reference to the tick.

Intra-bar in the opening market profile 30 minute period, price bounced and reversed off of very visual short term references – first bouncing exactly off the single print from Friday at 2434.25, then reversing exactly at the opening print at 2434.75, and bouncing again exactly off the Globex half back at 2433.50, then “rallying” to and pausing at the prior point of control before mechanically trading a few ticks higher to the overnight high and prior close at 2437.50 – all early clues as to who was in control of this low confidence, low volume trading session.

B period opened at the prior point of control and traded a point and a half higher to Friday’s late M period excess single prints, correcting the short overnight inventory. Price did not make a new record high above Friday’s all time high, although the high on Monday’s profile is a poor high, with just one tick of excess.

ES Market Profile chart 6/5/17


With Friday’s lower distribution rejected, price spent the entire trading session inside of Friday’s upper distribution, for a paltry 5 1/2 point total trading range for the day.

Monday’s lackluster session was balanced, leaving near matching prominent points of control at 2436.75/2437.00. The earlier A period low, being exactly at an obvious reference used by short term traders, probably has good odds of being revisited. Balance trading rules could apply on Tuesday, depending on where price opens:

– Look above and repair Monday’s poor high at 2439.00 and test the all time high at 2439.75, finding acceptance at higher prices and setting another record high
– Look above and repair Monday’s poor high at 2439.00 and fail, testing the prominent point of control, Monday’s close and weak, mechanical low (at the prior Globex half back level), and potentially lower prices
– Look below Monday’s weak, mechanical low at the Globex half back level and accelerate lower, finding acceptance at lower prices and repairing some of the multiple anomalies in the poorly structured profiles below.
– Look below Monday’s low and fail, returning back into Monday’s balance to test the back-to-back points of control, potentially repairing the poor high and setting a new record high
– Remain balanced

A breakout above or below Monday’s small range should probably have better odds of continuation if price first checks in with the very prominent, near back to back points of control, or “fairest price to do business”, from Monday.




(the above, post and all posts on es-traders.com, is an interpretation of market generated information using the Market Profile, and the information contained within is to be used for informational purposes only and not to be construed as investment or trading advice. DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS WEBSITE. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Please read our disclaimer)

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ES flirts with new all time high, shrugs off bad news and data

ES small range profile with higher value, wide point of control
ES small range profile with higher value, wide point of control

The ES traded in just a 7 1/2 point tight, balanced trading range on Tuesday. Balance trading rules could apply on Wednesday, depending on where price opens:

– Look above Monday’s poor high at 2399.50 and accelerate/find acceptance to potential new all time highs
– Look above Monday’s poor high at 2399.50, repair the poor high and fail, returning back into Tuesday’s range and targeting the opposite end and potentially lower prices
– Look below Monday’s mechanical low at 2392.00 and accelerate/find acceptance, attempt to repair Monday’s poor low at 2385.00 and potentially lower prices
– Look below Monday’s mechanical low at 2392.00 and fail, returning back into Tuesday’s range and targeting the poor high from Monday and possibly higher prices, including an attempt at another new record high.
– Remain balanced. Probably the lowest of odds because of the small range.

(the above, post and all posts on es-traders.com, is an interpretation of market generated information using the Market Profile, and the information contained within is to be used for informational purposes only and not to be construed as investment or trading advice. DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS WEBSITE. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Please read our disclaimer)




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