Tag Archives: pullback low

Two distributions, probable short covering rally

Anomalies in the market profile chart are often repaired, or traded back through, soon after they are created. Wednesdays balance and Thursdays rally traded back through the multiple anomalies in the profile following the April 24th selloff. Thursday’s (4/26) market profile chart also left a poor high at 2675.50, closing just off the high of day.

short covering rally

Depending on where price opens in regards to areas of balance, potential trading scenarios could include:

– Look above or below a balance and accelerate/find acceptance

– Look above or below a balance and fail, targeting the opposite end

– Remain in balance

Prior wide “naked” (not yet revisited) points of control can act as price magnets, often drawing price back to them. There are very prominent points of control both above and below Thursday’s range.

market profile daily charts

Focusing on the two separate distributions in Thursday’s profile, price acceptance within the upper balance would probably have decent odds of repairing the poor high, and potentially re-testing the high from 4/24, and if the market remains strong price could target the upper excess single prints from the 4/20 profile.

Carrying past information forward, the high from 4/19 at 2703.50 was mechanically just a single tick shy of filling the gap from 4/18, and the very wide naked point of control from the 4/18 profile at at 2714.00 has not been revisted. The prior weekly high is at 2718.00.

split view market profile chart
Split view market profile chart 4/26/18

If price opens in or finds acceptance back inside Thursday’s lower distribution, below the pull back low at 2663.75, the lower excess single prints in the profile could be tested, followed by the small gap at Wednesday’s high at 2645.00. Acceptance back into the 4/25 range could target the 10 TPO wide naked point of control at 2629.50.



(the above, post and all posts on es-traders.com, is an interpretation of market generated information using the Market Profile, and the information contained within is to be used for informational purposes only and not to be construed as investment or trading advice. DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS WEBSITE. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Please read our disclaimer)

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One Timeframing Trend Day Higher, Late Spike

The market stopped one timeframing higher for only one period, typical for a trend day.

outside day, one time framing
Price had one time-framed higher in all but one 30 minute period, typical for a trend day. Also an outside day.

A potential important early market profile trading reference for Thursday could be the base of the late day J period spike at 2619.75. Opening within the spike implies the late higher prices are being accepted, opening above the spike means the late probe did not trade high enough to cut off the buying. Opening below the base of the spike is negative, in that case the pullback low at 2601.50 could be a potential target.

market profile spike

The April 1st selloff was a failed breakout of the March inside month. Although Wednesday was an outside day to the upside, the market is currently trading in a multi-day range.

daily chart trading range



(the above, post and all posts on es-traders.com, is an interpretation of market generated information using the Market Profile, and the information contained within is to be used for informational purposes only and not to be construed as investment or trading advice. DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS WEBSITE. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Please read our disclaimer)

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Multible Distributions



The market appeared to be in short covering mode ater the weekend. Often, when there are multiple anomalies in the profile it is a sign of shorter time frame, momentum based trading, leaving decent odds of at least some of the poor structure being repaired in a future session, if not the next day.

Short covering rally, poor high in market profile chart

Monday’s pullback low at 2708.50 could be an early reference on Tuesday’s regular session, depending on where price opens.

Acceptance above 2708.50 potentially targets Monday’s point of control, the prior close and potentially the high, which also a poor high with no TPO excess, at 2727.75 and the high from 3/1 at 2731.00.

Other potential targets above could include the single print at 2737.25 from 2/28 and the point of control from that profile at 2747.50 and the high of that day at 2762.00, which is also another poor high.

Split view market profile chart 3-5-18

Price acceptance back below the upper distribution targets the single prints and the anomaly below that balance, and potentially the high of the lower distribution from Monday at 2684.50.

(the above, post and all posts on es-traders.com, is an interpretation of market generated information using the Market Profile, and the information contained within is to be used for informational purposes only and not to be construed as investment or trading advice. DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS WEBSITE. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. Please read our disclaimer)



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